Saturday, November 29, 2014

Lower Fuel Prices, Higher Fuel Consumption leading to Higher Pollution

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ONGC India

The October Price of crude for Indian basket is  87.40 dollars and  in November it is  72 dollars. This big reduction  would save an import cost of  40 billion dollars for us.  This great bonanza has thrown open a chance for all developing economies  to consolidate the gains accruing in various sectors. The  OPEC's decision to continue with their daily quota of 30 mbpd is a welcome step.  The reduced rate of fuel would have a cascading effect on the economy especially the goods that need to be transported beyond 100 kms. But the transport sector may not  offer any  fare cut as traditionally  they are making either losses or with  a poor profit margin.  The inflation rate would  remain   manageable. The consumers may be more having money to dispense with for other expenditure. Apart from these positive developments the negative side of this emerging positive story is that the automobile sector would start rolling out more machines on roads. The booming economy with a lower fuel price is going to spur the  sales of  passenger vehicles for sure. Each dollar reduction in Brent Price will end up in more sales. I apprehend the pollution scene  in India which is growing murkier  would turn to the worst as the price glut may end up in more and more users contributing more CO2 into the atmosphere.   

P.S.: If the world wants to reduce the conflicts / casualties  by at least 50% the  crude price should be maintained under 40 dollars.  






Crude oil prices  
Month YearBrentDubaiIndian BasketOmanWTI
September, 201497.3096.4796.9697.1893.24
August, 2014101.16101.73101.89102.1596.38
July, 2014106.64106.15106.31106.16102.82
June, 2014111.65108.03109.13108.06105.22
May, 2014109.61105.66106.94105.80101.93
April, 2014107.63104.68105.62104.93102.02
March, 2014107.54104.32105.29104.34100.53
February, 2014108.87105.04106.19105.04100.79
JANUARY, 2014108.25104.02105.29104.0294.93
December, 2013110.81107.86108.72107.8997.81
October, 2013109.04106.64107.38106.72100.41
September, 2013111.89108.28109.46108.56106.19
August, 2013111.25107.11108.45107.24106.55
July, 2013107.95103.52104.86103.53104.66
June, 2013102.91100.32101.16100.3595.75
May, 2013102.49100.33101.14100.4994.60
April, 2013101.92101.68101.58101.7291.97
March, 2013108.37105.55106.45105.5692.87
February, 2013116.29111.10112.68111.1095.28
January, 2013113.01107.94109.55107.9494.74
December, 2012109.36106.34107.28106.3488.23
November, 2012109.11107.26107.87107.2786.57
October, 2012111.61108.87109.79108.9089.45
September, 2012112.86111.22111.77111.3194.45
August, 2012113.37108.59110.07108.9093.99
July, 2012102.5999.15100.3499.4387.80
June, 201294.8494.4494.5294.4982.32
May, 2012110.20107.31108.13107.3794.62
April, 2012119.54117.30118.04117.44103.35
March, 2012125.33122.47123.61122.92106.31
February, 2012119.56116.17117.67117.15102.29
January, 2012110.58109.80110.47110.83100.35
December, 2011107.84106.43107.20107.2898.55
November, 2011110.66109.00109.62109.3597.17
October, 2011109.44103.95106.11104.7686.45
September, 2011113.13106.31108.79106.6585.55
August, 2011110.37105.02106.94105.3586.31
July, 2011116.89109.99112.37110.4197.28
June, 2011114.04107.77109.85107.9096.21
May, 2011114.56108.38110.65108.89101.22
April, 2011123.49116.01118.46116.56109.89
March, 2011114.60108.71110.72109.00103.03
February, 2011103.76100.24101.62100.6089.57
January, 201196.5492.5293.8792.6689.38
December, 201091.3689.0589.7889.1289.08
November, 201085.3383.6584.2683.8384.20
October, 201082.7580.2281.1180.4481.89
September, 201077.8075.1276.0975.4275.17
August, 201077.1574.0975.1374.3776.62
July, 201075.6472.4973.5472.5976.32
June, 201074.8573.9974.3374.1875.29
May, 201075.1776.7876.1677.0473.67
April, 201084.8983.5984.0883.6784.44
March, 201078.9077.3178.0277.7281.25
February, 201073.6373.4873.6573.9276.45
December, 200974.2875.4275.0275.4874.47
November 200976.6677.7177.3977.8878.06
October 200972.7673.1573.0773.3475.73
September 200967.3967.6467.7068.1669.41
August 200972.8371.3471.9871.5771.07
July 200964.6164.8264.8365.0864.10
June 200968.5569.4169.1269.4769.64
May 200957.4857.8558.0057.9659.45
April 200950.3450.1050.1650.1649.82
March 200946.5545.5946.0245.8348.00
February 200943.0743.0943.2243.5239.16
January 200943.5944.1244.0044.4541.80
December 200840.3540.5340.6140.9941.45
November 200852.5149.8450.9150.0457.41
October 200871.8767.4269.1267.9676.54
September 200898.1395.9096.8196.13103.61
August 2008113.03112.86113.05113.28116.58
July 2008133.18131.27132.47132.81133.30
June 2008132.44127.82129.72128.32133.89
May 2008122.73119.50120.91119.80125.48
April 2008108.97103.41105.77104.09112.64
March 2008103.6696.7699.7697.86105.46
February 200895.0490.0292.3790.6895.40
January 200892.0087.3789.5288.5592.98
December 200790.9885.5887.9286.4491.39
November 200792.6186.8789.1187.0794.74
October 200782.5077.1279.3377.5585.87
September 200776.8773.3674.7873.5679.98
August 200773.1868.6570.9968.3472.37
July 200777.0169.4972.6970.0974.10
June 200777.0165.7968.1966.0867.44
May 200767.2364.6165.7965.0563.40
April 200767.5163.9765.5464.4563.84
March 200762.1558.8060.2659.1960.63
February 200757.4355.7556.4955.9659.20
January 200753.6851.6952.6252.1454.17
December 200662.3258.6860.3459.3461.96
November 200658.9256.7257.7957.3658.82
October 200657.8056.4257.2757.3858.82
September 200661.7159.8261.0461.0163.74
August 200673.1168.7770.8469.9773.01
July 200673.6669.1771.3670.2274.40
June 200668.6965.2266.9566.1770.88
May 200669.8365.0067.4166.3070.87
April 200670.1664.0667.0265.5469.46
March 200662.1057.8260.0159.1962.82
February 200660.1257.6158.9558.6161.57
January 200663.0558.4460.5459.2665.44
December 200556.9153.2055.0554.1959.41
November 200555.1851.3953.1452.5258.27
October 200558.6153.9656.2855.2362.28
September 200562.9156.5459.9158.3565.52
August 200564.1256.6060.0257.5264.96
July 200557.5852.8355.0153.4658.58
June 200554.3951.0852.7251.9556.35
May 200548.5645.4047.0246.4149.79
April 200551.8247.2049.4348.1953.09
March 200552.9145.8449.2747.2154.27
February 200545.3739.8742.5841.0847.94
January 200544.2337.9241.0039.1947.04
December 200439.5334.2036.6535.4443.20
November 200442.8434.8738.8236.6948.44
October 200449.6437.5443.3739.7553.24
September 200443.2535.5539.1536.5545.90
August 200443.0438.5540.5338.7344.90
July 200438.3234.6536.3535.0842.83
June 200435.0433.4334.2233.7938.00
May 200437.8034.7436.0934.8740.24
April 200433.2531.6832.3631.7136.69
 Source INDANE
Copyright © Indian Oil Corporation Ltd.Updated on November 10, 2014

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