Sunday, October 12, 2014

HUDHUD UPDATES


Sub: Very Severe Cyclonic Storm, ‘HUDHUD’ over west central Bay of Bengal, Cyclone Warning
 for north Andhra Pradesh & south Odisha coasts (Red Message) and post landfall outlook.

The Very Severe Cyclonic Storm ‘HUDHUD’ over westcentral Bay of Bengal moved west-northwestwards with a speed of about 15 kmph during the last 06 hours and lay centered at 1130 hours IST of 12th October 2014 near latitude 17.6ºN and longitude 83.2ºE, close to Visakhapatnam. The system is crossing the coast.


Category of cyclonic disturbance

12-10-2014/1130 17.6/83.2 170-180 gusting to 195 Very Severe Cyclonic Storm
12-10-2014/1730 18.2/82.7 100-120 gusting to 130 Severe Cyclonic Storm
12-10-2014/2330 18.7/82.2 80-90 gusting to 100 Cyclonic Storm
13-10-2014/0530 19.2/81.7 55-65 gusting to 75 Deep Depression
13-10-2014/1130 19.7/81.2 40-50 gusting to 60 Depression

Warning for north Andhra Pradesh and south Odisha
(i) Heavy rainfall warning: Under the influence of the system, rainfall at most places with heavy (6.5–12.4 cm) to very heavy falls (12.5–24.4 cm) at a few places and isolated extremely heavy falls (≥ 24.5 cm) would occur over west & east Godavari, Visakhapatnam, Vijayanagaram & Srikakulam districts of north Andhra Pradesh and Ganjam, Gajapati, Koraput, Rayagada, Nabarangpur, Malkangiri, Kalahandi, Phulbani districts of south Odisha during next 48 hrs. Rainfall would occur at most places with heavy to very heavy rainfall at isolated places over Krishna, Guntur & Prakasham districts of Andhra Pradesh and north coastal Odisha during the same period.


(ii) Wind warning: Gale wind speed upto to 170-180 kmph gusting to 195 kmph would prevail along & off north Andhra Pradesh (East Godavari, Visakhapatnam, Vizianagaram and Srikakulam districts) 80-90 kmph along and off adjoining districts of Andhra Pradesh (West Godavari & Krishna districts) and south Odisha (Ganjam, Gajapati, Koraput and Malkangiri districts).(iii) Sea condition along and off north Andhra Pradesh and south Odisha coasts: Sea condition would be phenomenal along & off north Andhra Pradesh coast and high along & off south Odisha and south Andhra Pradesh coast during next 24 hours.

(iv) Storm surge warning: Storm surge of about 1-2 meters above astronomical tide would inundate low lying areas of Visakhapatnam, Vijayanagaram and Srikakulam districts of north coastal Andhra Pradesh at the time of landfall.

(v) Damage expected:
A) North Andhra Pradesh (East Godavari, Visakhapatnam, Vizianagaram and Srikakulam 
districts): Under the influence of system, extensive damage to kutcha houses. Some damage to old  buildings. Large scale disruption of power and communication lines. Disruption of rail and road traffic due to extensive flooding. Potential threat from flying debris. Damage to agricultural crops.

B) West Godavari & Krishna districts of Andhra Pradesh and south Odisha coasts (Ganjam, 
Gajapati, Koraput and Malkangiri districts): Damage to thatched huts. Breaking of tree branches 
causing minor damage to power and communication lines. Uprooting of small trees. Damage to 
agricultural crops.

(vi) Action suggested:
A) North Andhra Pradesh (East Godavari, Visakhapatnam, Vizianagaram and Srikakulam 
districts): Total suspension of fishing operations in area of influence of cyclone. Mobilise extensive evacuation from coastal areas. Diversion or suspension of aviation, navigation, rail and road traffic. People in affected areas to remain at safe places around landfall period.

B) West Godavari & Krishna districts of Andhra Pradesh and south Odisha coasts (Ganjam, 
Gajapati, Koraput and Malkangiri districts): Total suspension of fishing operations. People in 
affected areas to remain at safe places.

Post landfall outlook: Even after landfall the system would maintain the intensity of very severe cyclonic storm for 6 hours and gradually weaken into a cyclonic storm in subsequent 6 hours while moving northwestwards across south interior Odisha and Chattisgarh. Under its influence rainfall at most places with heavy falls at a few places would occur over south Chattisgarh, adjoining Telangana and south Odisha and isolated heavy to very heavy falls over north Chattisgarh, east Madhya Pradesh and north Odisha. Gale wind speed reaching 100-120 kmph gusting to 130 kmph would also prevail for 6 hours after landfall and 80-90 kmph gusting to 100 kmph for subsequent 6 hours over East Godavari, Visakhapatnam, Vizianagaram and Srikakulam districts of north Andhra Pradesh and Ganjam, Gajapati, Koraput and Malkangiri districts of Odisha during the same period. Squally winds speed reaching 55-65 kmph gusting to 75 kmph would also prevail for next 12 hours after landfall over south Chattisgarh and adjoining districts of north Telangana and south Odisha. 

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